2025 Major League Baseball Playoff Odds

Number of simulations: 100008
Compiled November 06, 2025 at 05:03


Estimated talent playoff odds American League Team | W-L GB PO% | TAL AV | Mx Mn | RW RL Div WC Mariners | 90-72 -- 100.0 |.549 90.0 | 90 90 | 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0 Astros | 87-75 3.0 49.8 |.530 87.0 | 87 87 | 0.0 0.0 0.0 49.8 Rangers | 81-81 9.0 0.0 |.494 81.0 | 81 81 | 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Athletics | 76-86 14.0 0.0 |.473 76.0 | 76 76 | 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Angels | 72-90 18.0 0.0 |.419 72.0 | 72 72 | 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 ----- Guardians | 88-74 -- 100.0 |.476 88.0 | 88 88 | 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0 Tigers | 87-75 1.0 50.2 |.530 87.0 | 87 87 | 0.0 0.0 0.0 50.2 Royals | 82-80 6.0 0.0 |.480 82.0 | 82 82 | 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Twins | 70-92 18.0 0.0 |.481 70.0 | 70 70 | 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 White Sox | 60-102 28.0 0.0 |.408 60.0 | 60 60 | 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 ----- Yankees | 94-68 -- 100.0 |.573 94.0 | 94 94 | 0.0 0.0 49.6 50.4 Blue Jays | 94-68 -- 100.0 |.557 94.0 | 94 94 | 0.0 0.0 50.4 49.6 Red Sox | 89-73 5.0 100.0 |.534 89.0 | 89 89 | 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 Rays | 77-85 17.0 0.0 |.503 77.0 | 77 77 | 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Orioles | 75-87 19.0 0.0 |.477 75.0 | 75 75 | 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 ----- National League Team | W-L GB PO% | TAL AV | Mx Mn | RW RL Div WC Dodgers | 93-69 -- 100.0 |.555 93.0 | 93 93 | 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0 Padres | 90-72 3.0 100.0 |.502 90.0 | 90 90 | 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 Giants | 81-81 12.0 0.0 |.499 81.0 | 81 81 | 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Diamondbacks | 80-82 13.0 0.0 |.528 80.0 | 80 80 | 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Rockies | 43-119 50.0 0.0 |.345 43.0 | 43 43 | 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 ----- Brewers | 97-65 -- 100.0 |.542 97.0 | 97 97 | 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0 Cubs | 92-70 5.0 100.0 |.549 92.0 | 92 92 | 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 Reds | 83-79 14.0 50.1 |.471 83.0 | 83 83 | 0.0 0.0 0.0 50.1 Cardinals | 78-84 19.0 0.0 |.499 78.0 | 78 78 | 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Pirates | 71-91 26.0 0.0 |.442 71.0 | 71 71 | 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 ----- Phillies | 96-66 -- 100.0 |.566 96.0 | 96 96 | 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0 Mets | 83-79 13.0 49.9 |.551 83.0 | 83 83 | 0.0 0.0 0.0 49.9 Marlins | 79-83 17.0 0.0 |.476 79.0 | 79 79 | 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Braves | 76-86 20.0 0.0 |.508 76.0 | 76 76 | 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Nationals | 66-96 30.0 0.0 |.428 66.0 | 66 66 | 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
American League Team | TAL xRF xRA wrc+ xFIP- BsR Def| xW PO% | W-L GB RF RA Yankees | .573 853 685 119 96 -4.7 6.4| 94.0 100.0 | 94-68 -- 849 685 Blue Jays | .557 801 675 112 99 -5.6 38.7| 94.0 100.0 | 94-68 -- 798 721 Mariners | .549 811 700 113 94 -2.8 -22.7| 90.0 100.0 | 90-72 -- 766 694 Red Sox | .534 750 676 103 97 8.0 23.2| 89.0 100.0 | 89-73 5.0 786 676 Astros | .530 715 650 100 93 -5.5 20.0| 87.0 49.8 | 87-75 3.0 686 665 Tigers | .530 746 681 103 95 4.3 3.7| 87.0 50.2 | 87-75 1.0 758 691 ----- Rays | .503 719 713 98 94 13.3 -35.5| 77.0 0.0 | 77-85 17.0 714 683 Rangers | .494 668 680 92 97 5.6 18.5| 81.0 0.0 | 81-81 9.0 684 605 Twins | .481 698 740 97 101 -1.2 -12.4| 70.0 0.0 | 70-92 18.0 678 773 Royals | .480 666 708 93 100 -4.1 12.3| 82.0 0.0 | 82-80 6.0 651 637 Orioles | .477 692 743 96 100 0.0 -22.2| 75.0 0.0 | 75-87 19.0 677 788 Guardians | .476 635 685 87 99 7.7 27.9| 88.0 100.0 | 88-74 -- 643 649 Athletics | .473 753 815 105 110 -3.0 -22.5| 76.0 0.0 | 76-86 14.0 733 817 Angels | .419 663 846 92 109 0.0 -60.9| 72.0 0.0 | 72-90 18.0 673 837 White Sox | .408 626 830 88 110 -8.5 -37.2| 60.0 0.0 | 60-102 28.0 647 742 ----- National League Team | TAL xRF xRA wrc+ xFIP- BsR Def| xW PO% | W-L GB RF RA Phillies | .566 793 647 109 90 7.9 1.3| 96.0 100.0 | 96-66 -- 778 648 Dodgers | .555 813 690 113 96 -1.2 1.5| 93.0 100.0 | 93-69 -- 825 683 Mets | .551 815 699 112 97 7.9 -0.3| 83.0 49.9 | 83-79 13.0 766 715 Cubs | .549 803 693 110 101 10.8 34.7| 92.0 100.0 | 92-70 5.0 793 649 Brewers | .542 786 692 107 99 15.0 21.7| 97.0 100.0 | 97-65 -- 806 634 Diamondbacks | .528 789 726 109 102 3.8 9.3| 80.0 0.0 | 80-82 13.0 791 785 ----- Braves | .508 719 701 101 98 -8.3 5.0| 76.0 0.0 | 76-86 20.0 724 734 Padres | .502 734 728 102 101 -1.2 -0.6| 90.0 100.0 | 90-72 3.0 702 621 Giants | .499 690 691 97 97 -9.1 7.8| 81.0 0.0 | 81-81 12.0 705 684 Cardinals | .499 686 689 96 99 -5.5 24.1| 78.0 0.0 | 78-84 19.0 689 754 Marlins | .476 693 745 96 104 1.1 4.1| 79.0 0.0 | 79-83 17.0 709 798 Reds | .471 668 730 92 101 5.3 -2.6| 83.0 50.1 | 83-79 14.0 716 681 Pirates | .442 585 705 82 100 -5.7 15.2| 71.0 0.0 | 71-91 26.0 583 645 Nationals | .428 669 831 93 109 -0.9 -45.4| 66.0 0.0 | 66-96 30.0 687 899 Rockies | .345 523 865 74 117 -10.3 -22.5| 43.0 0.0 | 43-119 50.0 597 1021
American League Team | W-L GB PO% | TAL AV | Mx Mn | RW RL Div WC Mariners | 90-72 -- 100.0 |.500 90.0 | 90 90 | 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0 Astros | 87-75 3.0 50.0 |.500 87.0 | 87 87 | 0.0 0.0 0.0 50.0 Rangers | 81-81 9.0 0.0 |.500 81.0 | 81 81 | 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Athletics | 76-86 14.0 0.0 |.500 76.0 | 76 76 | 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Angels | 72-90 18.0 0.0 |.500 72.0 | 72 72 | 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 ----- Guardians | 88-74 -- 100.0 |.500 88.0 | 88 88 | 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0 Tigers | 87-75 1.0 50.0 |.500 87.0 | 87 87 | 0.0 0.0 0.0 50.0 Royals | 82-80 6.0 0.0 |.500 82.0 | 82 82 | 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Twins | 70-92 18.0 0.0 |.500 70.0 | 70 70 | 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 White Sox | 60-102 28.0 0.0 |.500 60.0 | 60 60 | 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 ----- Yankees | 94-68 -- 100.0 |.500 94.0 | 94 94 | 0.0 0.0 50.0 50.0 Blue Jays | 94-68 -- 100.0 |.500 94.0 | 94 94 | 0.0 0.0 50.0 50.0 Red Sox | 89-73 5.0 100.0 |.500 89.0 | 89 89 | 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 Rays | 77-85 17.0 0.0 |.500 77.0 | 77 77 | 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Orioles | 75-87 19.0 0.0 |.500 75.0 | 75 75 | 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 ----- National League Team | W-L GB PO% | TAL AV | Mx Mn | RW RL Div WC Dodgers | 93-69 -- 100.0 |.500 93.0 | 93 93 | 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0 Padres | 90-72 3.0 100.0 |.500 90.0 | 90 90 | 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 Giants | 81-81 12.0 0.0 |.500 81.0 | 81 81 | 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Diamondbacks | 80-82 13.0 0.0 |.500 80.0 | 80 80 | 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Rockies | 43-119 50.0 0.0 |.500 43.0 | 43 43 | 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 ----- Brewers | 97-65 -- 100.0 |.500 97.0 | 97 97 | 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0 Cubs | 92-70 5.0 100.0 |.500 92.0 | 92 92 | 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 Reds | 83-79 14.0 50.0 |.500 83.0 | 83 83 | 0.0 0.0 0.0 50.0 Cardinals | 78-84 19.0 0.0 |.500 78.0 | 78 78 | 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Pirates | 71-91 26.0 0.0 |.500 71.0 | 71 71 | 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 ----- Phillies | 96-66 -- 100.0 |.500 96.0 | 96 96 | 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0 Mets | 83-79 13.0 50.0 |.500 83.0 | 83 83 | 0.0 0.0 0.0 50.0 Marlins | 79-83 17.0 0.0 |.500 79.0 | 79 79 | 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Braves | 76-86 20.0 0.0 |.500 76.0 | 76 76 | 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Nationals | 66-96 30.0 0.0 |.500 66.0 | 66 66 | 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0